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The Master Manipulator

CHANDRABABU NAIDU’S IMPRINT ON THE GOVERNANCE OF THE STATE – Part I

By Benami Buster

After he smuggled himself to power, in the most abhorrent ways seldom paralleled in Indian polity, by dethroning the leader of the masses, Sri NTR, by ways of political deceit and betrayal, which Chandrababu had come to personify over the years, he set upon the task of governance of the State.


Image Courtesy: http://sriks6711.wordpress.com/
As recent history would tell us, we would have leaders, who in the rumble and tumble of real-politik, take sides, switch sides, take partisan stance, but when given the task of governance, adopt a liberal, democratic, all-inclusive approach to governance. We will not be cruel to Chandrababu Naidu by comparing him to legendary political leaders of yore, the Country had seen, but, naidu, does not even satisfy the minimal attributes of a leader, in contemporary times, who is acceptable to all sections of society, by his own frailties, and also on account of the issues he dealt with, in the manner he dealt with.

Any leader in governance would like to, at least be seen as making an effort, to usher in a transparent, honest, and a fair process of governance. Naidu is the only leader in contemporary politics who made manipulation, jugglery, spin-doctoring, media propaganda as effective instruments of governance. Let us take instance by instance :

a) Late NTR had imposed “prohibition” (no place for sale, consumption and trade in liquor) in the State of A.P. In fact the campaign for “prohibition” in the State was people-driven during the reign of K. Vijayabhaskara Reddy’s tenure as Chief Minister between 1992-1994, which was latched on to by Ramoji Rao’s eenadu.

After Naidu captured power, within a few months, he could understand the absence of revenue generation on account of prohibition and in a series of smart moves, EENADU started campaigning as to how “prohibition” is not in the interests of the State at all, as to how revenues started dwindling. One of the most popular decisions of any Government, – “prohibition” – imposed by NTR was lifted by Naidu. There were rumors and stories galore as to why and how the said decision was taken as a measure to garner pelf and assets for himself, and as is the trend, there was no investigation, no enquiry and a self-certification for himself was granted by the ever obliging EENADU.

b) He later on identified the areas which spelt doom for NTR during NTRs earlier reign between 1983 to 1989. He realized that the institutions of check and balance, had come very hard on NTR causing him untold embarrassment. Therefore, he went about the task of either subjugating them, and if not possible, subverted the parallel institutions of governance, such as Legislature, Judiciary etc. He would put his moles in every institution, and as James Manor#, the Englishman had recorded, even into the institution of Judiciary, to make things easy for him. The two moles he had inducted into the State higher judiciary, as noted by James Manor, came up for discussion during the course of recent hearing in the case of Smt. Y.S. Vijaya in the High Court against the misdeeds of Chandrababu Naidu during his reign as Chief Minister of the State.

Even during his latest lecture on THE BEST AND THE WORST OF INDIAN STATE he said that
Another worst feature of the Indian state is one-man dominance where certain chief ministers radically dominate their political sphere with the help of industrialists, “where one-person government is so strong that MLAs cannot represent and respond to their constituencies.” This is a negative trend. Examples he cited were Chandrababu Naidu, Naveen Patnaik, Narendra Modi, Karunanidi and Jayalalita“.*

The judiciary has never been the same ever since Chandrababu Naidu smuggled himself to power and as any stakeholder in the judicial institution of governance would lament, the master craftsmen brought on all his skills by employing lawyers, who are “NOT BEFORE” certain Hon’ble Judges, with an aim to marshall his case to a designated destination. And as he celebrated the dismissal of the W.P. filed by Smt. Y.S. Vijaya, by distributing sweets in the precincts, of the Legislative Assembly, he would be very proud of the actions he had taken, in regard to subverting every institution since 1995, which had kept him smiling. He still, unbelievably, seems to believe, that he is destined to have the last laugh.

Many men-made rulers, have come and gone, humbled by the aphorism that the “law has an uncanny way of catching up”. One may be on the run….. run……. Run……and then will find nowhere to go. It is a case of “when” and not “whether” with the law while Chandrababu naidu would be saying “whither with the law”.

To Conti…..

*http://www.jamiajournal.com/2012/01/17/prof-james-manor-from-the-uk-speaks-at-jamia-on-the-best-and-the-worst-of-indian-state/
# Prof James Manor Profile

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YSR intellectuals forum, Bengaluru

It is my immense pleasure to invite you to second YSR Intellectual Forum Meet.

Date and Time : 12th Mar 2011 3PM-6PM
Venue : Lakshmi Party Hall
Address:
#12, Jai Ganesh Plaza,
Kammanahalli Main Road,
R.S. Palya ,
Above Gayathri Bhavan,
Bangalore – 33.

Guests : Bhumana Karunakar Reddy garu and Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy garu.

Your presence is so important to us.
So kindly attend and make this meet a successful one. Your friends are also invited.

Note: Invitation will be sent to you in couple of days.

For any clarifications regarding venue please contact chaitanya (9902541541) or revanth (9980440110)

YSR Amar Rahe……Jai Jagan anna.

regards,
Nawaz and VBR.

 

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Nielsen Survey Results and Aftermath

 

There was a recent survey on political leanings in Andhra Pradesh by Nielsen for NTV, a popular Telugu TV channel. The previous Nielsen NTV surveys had been spot on every time as of now. These recent survey results are aligned with observations of lot of political experts in the state, but there would be some exceptions as the yellow media, who has been wrong on every single survey that they conducted for the past several years. Most of the time, they cook these surveys in NTR Bhavan or in the bomb-proof building that someone built on the occupied lands of Hayatnagar. But, as have been seen in their past behaviors, the yellow media went mum on the survey, Chandra Babu and other TDP leaders alleged that this was a paid survey – their usual reactions. This knee jerk reaction was expected from the yellow cadre/media. How else do they react when their worst fears of not coming back to power even the third successive time, when for a regional party like TDP, it’s a death knell? TDP vote share of 18%, massive losses in both Seemanadhra and Telangana have made them realize their worst fears. Their confusing two eye, four tongue, sixteen lie policy on vital issues of the state is not working out and Chandra Babu’s inhuman, cruel vendetta on a leader that died in the line of duty even after 17 months is making people sick and his party is losing a lot of ground is obvious. PRP at 5% (not 16%) before merger with Congress and only 40% of his remaining followers going on with his merger is seen as confirming a majority opinion of political pundits. The surprising thing is the Congress strength as most are of the opinion that it’s at less than 10% and not 16% the survey came up with. This may be because of the fact that most of the Congress MLAs, who are somewhat strong in their respective constituencies still with the party. But, their vote share will wither away with the MLAs and MPs start leaving and joining Jagan in the coming days. The merger with PRP might put Congress vote share at about 10%. The PRP merger also would be in trouble, as some of its MLAs would want to join Jagan now with the survey after survey predicting that Jagan is da man. All in all, Jagan would be strengthened in the coming days and weeks. All he has to do is to be as cautious as possible in the path he is traveling and the people who he is associating with. Jagan’s new party at 35% must be a little less than the actual vote share, as his latent Telangana support was not accounted for properly.

These survey results, though very good for a party that is not even formed yet, could be skewed a bit.

1. PRP merger will help Congress a little bit in Seemanadhra and none in Telangana, not much to change each other’s fate, which is downfall.

2. Most poll pundits are inclined to believe that Jagan’s party would do much better in Telangana than what the survey says, for a simple reason that the people who aspire for united Andhra Pradesh would now vote en mass for Jagan, as they would believe that it’s only Jagan that could keep the state together. This survey should give him a boost in at least 35 assembly constituencies in and around Hyderabad, parts of Nalgonda, Medak, Mahaboob Nagar and Khammam. There is a good chance that his party can secure over 180 seats in the Assembly and as many as 28 MP seats. These MP seats should be enough for the new party to demand whoever comes to form the central government for important portfolios like Agriculture, Railways, Irrigation to help the state advance.

3. People accepted Jagan as not only the legitimate heir of YSR legacy, but also as a leader that can fight for him as well as for the state. This is very important facet of the survey. It has been a very rough ride for the young man ever since his father died. The hardcore followers of YSR could not become normal as of today, and one wonders how the situation of his own son would be. He went through a lot of sad, painful days with loss of his father and back stabbing by some of the closest to him. The people’s trust in his leadership should make him one happy camper right now.

4. The timing of the survey is great too, with party launch in the next month and the Kadapa by-elections coming up next, this survey would force the hands of lot of people to support Jagan. The majority projection of his camp in Pulivendla and Kadapa seats would have increased by several folds overnight. The local leaders, who have been fence sitting and leaning towards YSV/Congress now will have to think of voting against the future CM of the state and also realize that the short term gains they are expecting from the present government may never come true as this government would mostly not last long. At least 50-60 MLAs should be coming out openly and support Jagan, there by the imminent collapse of KKR government and leading to President rule. People who wanted to see the tangible results from the crowds YSJ has been attracting can now see them and MPs, MLAs and local leadership have to make their choices and do them quick. The scales have just tipped.

5. At this juncture and going forward Jagan should highlight the Telugu pride. He should be able to convince people that we are all Telugus first and anything else is next. He should emphasize the Telugu pride getting trampled in Delhi streets and under the feet of Italians and northerners who cannot win in their own seats and states.  Coming to choosing local leadership of his party, he needs to understand that leaders are born from the masses. The sitting MLAs/MPs might be as much a subtraction as an addition. Now, with this Nielsen NTV survey on his table, Jagan should be able to call the shots and choose his people. He can either entice someone to come to him or not entertain someone who wants to come to him. The choice would be his. There is a feeling that he knows what he has to do all along. One could see that in his eyes. Even in the darkest hours he faced in the past 17 months, he was strong and never ever lost his faith. He knew what exactly he has to do and he is doing it brick by brick and never over planning at all. For people who have been worried about his fate, things were/are under control. YS Jaganmohan Reddy is here to play this game at his pace and the way he wants to play.

All in all, this survey reflects that there is a sweep going on for Jagan in Seemandhra and KCR in Tealngana. And the most important thing one needs to notice is that this present trend should be the same in one year, to years or more as the Congress government would be losing people’ faith and Chandra Babu going after the mirages. Funny but true is that the true boons to YS Jagan are Congress party and Chandra Babu, who never have their act right. Chandra Babu and Sonia Gandhi are relegated to side roles in our state – Sonia Gandhi for the irresponsible handling of our state, YSR and YSJ and Chandra Babu for vision less leadership he always displayed through out his career. As these two try harder to suppress and malign YSR/YSJ images, they lose more and more. YSR and YSJ are like rubber balls, the harder we throw them against the wall, the harder they come back to smack us! People are not fools and they know what’s right and what’s wrong. The credibility and power of YSR and YSJ have been certified too by this survey. A picture says thousand words and if you look at the people faces and show of their affection towards YSJ, it tells you the amazing transfer of their love from YSR to YSJ.

This survey is a game changer for Jagan as well as for the state. The exodus from Congress, TDP that had been talked about will start now. There will be bigger lines at Jagan’s Banjara Hills home. The fence sitting Congress MLAs would raise their voice in support of Jagan now and would have to be in his corner to have any political future. KKR government’s days are numbered and there would be President rule by this summer and elections by the year-end. This NTV survey is God sent for Jagan as well as the state. This will give him the impetus to create the political tsunami that Jagan has declared that he would. And, for yellow media and TDP supporters that want to ridicule this Nielsen survey, a simple challenge should be “Are you ready for bringing down the KKR Congress government that lost both legislative and popular support by proposing no-confidence motion and there by going for the elections?”.

Gurava Reddy for CelebrateYSR.org


 

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Telugu Aatmagouravam

ఒక పాడి గేదని (జగన్) ఇంట్లోంచి తరిమి ఒక వట్టి గేదని (చిరంజీవి) పక్కింట్లోంచి తెచ్చి గుంజకి కట్టేయడంలోనే కాంగ్రెస్ యొక్క సోనియమ్మయొక్క ప్రతిభ ఏందో తెలుస్తుంది. కుక్కతోక పట్టుకుని గోదారి ఈదటం అంటే ఇదేనేమో. కిరణ్ కుమార్ రెడ్డి గాంధీభవన్ మీటింగ్ లో చెప్పినట్టు సోనియా గాంధీని “బలవంతం” చెయ్యడానికి చిరంజీవి “సమర్పించు” కుంటున్నాదేమో? మరో పక్క చంద్ర బాబు, టిడిపి, రామోజీ, రాధాకృష్ణ మరియి ఎల్లో బ్రిగేడ్ చేసే నీతిమాలిన రాజకీయాలు. సిగ్గులేని రాజకీయాలు ఇంకెంత నీచానికి దిగజారుతాయోనని ఆందోళన చెందాల్సిన అవసరం ఉంది. ఆంధ్రప్రదేశ్ కూడా బీహార్ లా కాంగ్రెస్ పార్టీకి సింగల్ డిజిట్ సీట్స్ ఇస్తుంది. అప్పుడు కాని తిక్క కుదరదు కాంగ్రెస్ కి. రెండు సార్లు వరసగా బిజెపి చేతిలో సొంతంగా వొడిపోయినా సిగ్గు ఎగ్గు లేని డిఎస్స్ ని పిసిసి అద్యక్షుడిగా ఉంచారంటేనే ఆ పార్టీ లెవెల్ ఏమిటో తెలుస్తుంది. సిగ్గులేని కాంగ్రెస్. వీరంతా కలిసి రంగం సిద్ధం చేస్తున్నారు చెత్త అంత తమ దగ్గరికి చేర్చుకుని జగన్ కి పట్టాభిషేకం చెయ్యడానికి. ఉరకలెత్తే నదికి ఎదురీదడం ఎంత తప్పో వీరికి త్వరలో తెలుస్తుంది.
ఎంఎల్ఎ లని అనర్హులని చేస్తే ఇదొక ద్రుష్ట సంస్కృతికి తెరతీసినట్టవుతుంది! కాంగ్రెస్ పార్టీ, ఇటాలియన్ సోనియా గాంధీ, సీల్డ్ కవర్ ముఖ్యమంత్రి, తమిళ తంబులు చిదంబరం మరియు నరసింహన్, ఈ కాంగ్రెస్ తాబెదార్లు అందరు కలిసి ఒక్క మగాడు జగన్ ని ఎదిరించడం కోసం రాజ్యాన్గానికే పెడు బాషణలు కల్పిస్తే, ఈ చంద్ర బాబు ఎల్లో మీడియా దాన్ని సమర్ధిస్తే ఈ రాష్ట్రం, ఈ ప్రజాస్వామ్యం అపహాస్యం పాలయ్యి సంక నాకి పోతుంది. చెట్టు మొదల్నే నరికేస్తే దేశానికే రక్షణ లేకుండా పోద్ది. తస్మాత్ జాగ్రత్త!!

I see nothing but treachery in Sonia Gandhi’s strategy. She wants complete control over the state leadership. She cannot accept any individual and progressive thinking leaders like Jagan, who would hold Telugu Aatmagauravam besides his own at a higher level. Spineless Chiranjeevi suits her style as he is also going to walk the same line as VH, Kaka, and others. But, I do not see anything bad for us in this as more and more masses would be consolidating behind us now. Decks are getting clear for us to have a clearer path – the path to destiny. I believe we have a good basic strength across the state to come back to power on our own. As Jagan start taling more and more, more independent thinking people would back us to resist the attempts of Sonia Gandhi to degrade our Telugu Aatmagauravam by having these spineless leaders do her proxy fight with YS Jagan. People do not appreciate her murky deals.

 

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He Went.. He Defied … He Conquered

Jagan was crisp and clear in delivering the message to the nation that we Telugu people are symbols of self respect and value pride and integrity and brought whole nation to pay attention to the events at Jantar Mantar. A young defiant leader taking on so called  mighty high command(false perception). While Sonia scrambling to get a sense of congress party leaders who were making scathing remarks against AP state govt and central govt thus denting and exposing the injustice meted out to Krishna river basin farmers in AP by Brajesh kumar tribunal.

The adventure of taking farmers and leaders in the bone chilling weather of Delhi, shows the character of the leader who took this expedition. High command to low command whipping up carrot and sticks just to stop the legislative leadership to participate in the genuine and justifiable cause in Delhi went into begging and the leaders who followed have proved to be brave enough to make statement that issues are paramount and they are higher than the so called undemocratic and slavery infested high command.

While inaction seem to be a best option for Sonia at this moment but this political posture has significantly eroded the base in congress party in AP. Rampant corruption and lack of leadership to deal with day to day problems of country pushing congress party into a cesspool. Congress party will have to bask in those glory days where leaders like YSR set the bar high in governance and leadership and was the compass to so called national leaders.

The ability of a leader is not measured  by his leadership and oratory skills rather it should be also combine with the ability to identify leaders. Mutually respecting leadership with loyal followers or shall we say bells and whistles of a party should alway reflect the common man needs and react accordingly. Time and again Jagan is proving to be a matured politician both in action and strategy. Innovation and opening up heart and energy to deal with common man problems are the mantra for a leader to become a great one.

The issue of AP farmers are not happy, in spite of national media sugar coat about lion share allocation of surplus water, about Krishna water tribunal verdict was brought to Delhi and to the nation. This was one of those two birds with one shot scenarios and was executed with precision. Kudos to Jagan and his team of leaders who pulled through a successful event.

Ranga Raju  Arkansas, USA

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Srin’s Realistic political scenario……

Jagan party will take vote share of =70% PRP+70%Congress+10%TDP
=14.7+27.02+3.4=45.12
More Analysis on MLA seats. In 2009 also my analysis and prediction came true See here There are total 294 MLA seats in AP

If congress doesn’t give Telangana
———————————

Telangana: MLA – 119
TRS 60
Jagan 24(Because in Telangana there is no strong leader in congress)
TDP 20
Congress 15

Andhra: MLA – 122
Jagan 55
TDP 45
Congress+PRP 22

Rayalaseema: MLA – 51
Jagan 30
Congress 10
TDP 10

Total
Jagan 109
TDP 75
TRS 60
Congress+PRP 47

If Congress gives Telangana
—————————

Telangana: MLA – 119
TRS 50
Jagan 10
TDP 10
Congress 45

Andhra: MLA – 122
Jagan 65
TDP 45
Congress+PRP 12

Rayalaseema: MLA – 51
Jagan 35
Congress+PRP 5
TDP 10

Total
Jagan 110
TDP 65
TRS 50
Congress+PRP 62

 

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People’s man

Thank you nani garu for sharing your experience.

Yesterday i had followed jagan in many places in my village(avanigadda)..

he is really moving very close with the people and had never felt irritated.
he stopped at every place where the people are waiting for him
and CAME DOWN from his vehicle and
for the people and interacted with them by touching
each and every person…
people especially in villages will never forget this type of incidents in their life time…

We know chandrababu and chiranjeevi visits villages in an open top vehicles and raise their two fingures and raise their hands and goes.. people dont care such things.

But jagan is totally different from all the leaders in our state. His feelings towards people are coming from his heart and people especially ladies are feeiling jagan as their brother and giving blessings to him at every place.
Great going by jagan.

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